A Timeline of Disasters in Amherst History

Measuring Disaster Intensity

The Disaster Intensity Index (DII), similar to the Yew Disaster Severity Index, is created to measure disasters by an index composed of factored indicators such as time duration, media presence, the number of people impacted, damages incurred, and degrees of institutional relief/support/changes as a result of the disaster. DII is only a rough estimation as quantitative scoring presupposes subjective intervention.

ParameterPercentageScore RangeCriteria
Time Duration30%1-5Within a day: 1
Within a week: 2
Within a month: 3
Within multiple months: 4
Year-long or longer: 5
Media Presence15%1-5Within students: 1
Within the college: 2
Local news: 3
Regional news: 4
National news: 5
Number of People Affected20%1-71≤N≤50 (or within a student group): 1
51≤N≤150 (or among multiple groups): 2
151≤N≤450 (or among class years): 3
451≤N≤1200 (or a significant majority of campus): 4
1201≤N≤2000 (or the most campus): 5
N>2000 (or the campus and affiliates): 6
N>>2000 (or all people related to Amherst): 7
Damages Incurred15%1-5minor damage: 1
major damage: 3
psychological trauma +1
multiple damages +1
Degree of Institutional Response20%1-6little to no response: 1
targeted response to victims: 2
general policy change: 4
structural change: 6
failed to prevent similar disasters -1

The Index (DII) ranges from 0 to 1. The more intense a particular disaster is for the general college community, the closer the index is to 1; The less intense, closer to 0. The midway value, 0.5, is standardized as the break-even point for “major” disasters and “minor” disasters, though a spectrum of disasters does not delineate a clear boundary between the two.

Candlestick chart for disaster intensity index by type
  • War has the greatest range of estimated impacts on the communities, likely because some wars are only experienced by part(s) of the college community.
  • Despite its highest frequency, Fire incidents show a relatively low intensity compared to disease, severe weather, demonstration, and war.
  • Types whose upper bar reaches 0.5 (Major Disaster) include Demonstration, Disease, Severe Weather, and War.
  • A major portion of Demonstrations was dealt with low intensity, quite similar to Fire and Infrastructure.

Below shows a bar chart indicating all disaster in the timeline (until July 15, 2020) and their DII, sorted from highest to lowest.

A bar chart indicating all disasters in the timeline and their sorted intensity index
DII > 0.75
Landmark Disasters
WWI
The Hurricane of 1938
WWII
The COVID-19 Pandemic
DII > 0.5
Major Disasters
Amherst Uprising
Protest against Vietnam War
The First Fire of Walker Hall
The Mill River Dam Disaster
Storm in 1950
The North College Fire
Black Lives Matter
Occupation of Converse
The 1862 Fire
Protests of Compulsory Chapel
The Civil War- Battle of New Bern
Sexual Assault Scandal
The 1918 Influenza
The Flood of March 1936